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[–] Obrez [S] ago  (edited ago)

It's likely that reinfections are about 14% as have been reported which would be consistent with relapse into viral pneumonia and the idea that it is mutating so quickly that people are catching a mutation.

If dems block the border closing they will get politically eviscerated from their own side who are mostly weak, sickly and infirm people anyway, they are scared of this thing big time, blocking a border closing would cinch this thing for trump. A challenge to the closing would be rescinded in hours.

We are all likely to get sick from it in our lifetimes even if we close the border; the goal is to slow it down so that we can prevent everyone from getting sick all at once clogging up the medical system resulting in a massive spike in deaths and fucking up productivity and the markets with annual quarantines.

If we can delay it long enough to develop a vaccine the R0 will go down dramatically when we inoculate the population. This virus is "novel" meaning until december no one had been infected with a virus that uses the mechanisms of infection this one uses so no person on earth had any antibodies/immunity to it, our immune systems are based on having prior experience with similar viruses that's why a vaccine even only 50% effective would halve the Rate of infection(R0) from something like 3 new infections on average to 1.5 making this thing no less deadly in and of itself but reducing spread and fatalities and ease of quarantine, with successive generations of infection conferred immunity will build and this thing will just become a common flu season bug.

The danger is in collapsing the medical supply lines and occupying all of the beds and respirators in hospitals in the meantime.