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[–] whitedogofpyr 0 points 6 points (+6|-0) ago 

3% is the number for the american revolution. It's a highly questionable number, but considering the DoD study on the subject, the civil war would be over around the time the main stream media finally said civil war on tv.

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[–] whatisbestinlife 0 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago 

its nice to know where the line is or at least one possible line. when they broadcast the calling for that will be a pretty easy decider.

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[–] whitedogofpyr ago 

Yeah, I consider that the line as well since it makes perfect sense. If CNN says civil war 2.0, then it's at a point where it's over. There could be other "lines in the sand," but that's a big one.

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[–] Broc_Lia 0 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago  (edited ago)

but considering the DoD study on the subject, the civil war would be over around the time the main stream media finally said civil war on tv.

Only in the sense that the iraq war ended when Bush declared victory on an aircraft carrier. If a civil war happened in the US it would almost immediately turn into a low level guerilla war with IEDs, snipers and security forces being targetted when they're off duty.

Most civil wars these days end either when one party is too exhausted to continue, or when the US steps in and plays peacemaker. The latter option isn't available, so it would grind on until the areas who desire it are de-facto independent and the feds retreat to wherever is willing to have them.

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[–] whitedogofpyr 0 points 1 point (+1|-0) ago 

You have to consider that a large portion of the feds would side with the rebels, so there'd be nowhere to retreat to. The elites would go to some new zealand bunker, but the civil war wouldn't last very long. It really depends on who's fighting whom. Red vs. Blue wouldn't last long because Red has guns, food, and supply lines. Blue has cities full of hungry people. People vs. Gov wouldn't last long either because of traitors on the gov side. The Gov could order nuke strikes against the people, but that would be really hard to pull off and they'd lose anyway.

I agree with your IED, guerilla war idea, but I can't see a scenario where the exhaustion wouldn't happen quickly. Cut off any major city for 3 days and that city would barely still exist.

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[–] TheDaoReveals ago 

Can you recall the study? I can only find references to Project Minerva. Interestingly, links to Minerva from news sources no longer seem to function.

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[–] whitedogofpyr ago 

Also, I looked around for an archive awhile ago and couldn't find anything. If you find it out there, please let me know. I'd love to get another copy of it since it was fascinating.

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[–] whitedogofpyr ago 

Yeah, it's minerva. I read it before, but I can't find it either. It makes sense why it was scrubbed.

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[–] Whitemail ago 

3% were fighting? Of course you always need other people doing other things to supply the troops and all.

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[–] whitedogofpyr ago 

That does not include spies or women knitting socks and stuff like that. It's also an estimate, but that's all it takes. Other loose numbers were 33% loyalist, 33% didn't care, and 33% supported the drunken rebels.