[–] seeprime 0 points 3 points (+3|-0) ago  (edited ago)

And some years ago hurricanes were increasing in frequency to the point that we expected to have ever increasing numbers every year, with many bigger and badder than we've ever seen. Didn't happen. Long term weather predictions, based on short term observations, are typically built on what the "meteorologist" professes to believe in and nothing substantial at this time.

[–] Scrapco 2 points -2 points (+0|-2) ago 

Kinda. Depending on whether you're going with relative or absolute SST in your model, you'll probably see differences in frequency of hurricanes, like you say... The overwhelming consensus is that they will become more intense. I don't know what you consider "short-term;" we have ~150 years of records at this point.

[–] dellcos 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago  (edited ago)

overwhelming consensus

There's no difference between the weatherman trying to predict which days it will rain NEXT month and these climate idiots predicting the trends of these storms.

They know basically nothing.

Humility used to be the order of the day in science. I read the old texts. No legit scientist of the past would look at what these clowns are calling science without laughing out loud and shaking their head.

They were less sure of stuff that could be proven in a lab and seen with their own eyes being correct than these guys are about computer models. It's totally pathetic to even try and make these predictions.

[–] Macdaddy5000 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago 

I remember my aunts complaining about the increased frequency of tornadoes back in the '60's, they blamed it on nuclear bomb tests and space shots. My dad tried to explain that better communications simply made individual tornadoes more widely known.

[–] gramman74 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago 

[–] dellcos 0 points 1 points (+1|-0) ago 

You must not understand that you need to check in almost daily to see what reality is. That is 2016 information. TOTALLY IRRELEVANT. /s

[–] ance [S] 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago 

Either the recent tornado activity increases are not due to a warming climate, or a warming climate has implications for tornado activity that we don’t understand

[–] dellcos 0 points 3 points (+3|-0) ago 

I'll go with the "we don't understand" part.

[–] ance [S] 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago 

Yes but we must "work" something :)

[–] MaFishTacosDaBombBro 1 points -1 points (+0|-1) ago 

I think this might have something to do with the Earth's weakening magnetic field. As solar radiation can make the weather more intense on Earth and a weaker magnetic field causes more of the sun's radiation to fall through.

[–] The_Cat 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago 

That's not how the magnetic field works at all. The magnetic field shields us from solar wind, not sunlight.

[–] MaFishTacosDaBombBro 0 points 0 points (+0|-0) ago  (edited ago)

I said radiation, not sunlight. The solar wind is composed of radiation. And radiation is composed of alpha, beta, and gamma particles. The only one of those is light, the gamma rays, and you're right. I don't think our magnetic field can shield us from the gamma rays, but it can shield is from the particles with mass which are the alpha and beta particles. So that's good.