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[–] goatboy 0 points 2 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago
Very high probability. In the short term, OPEC would be in chaos and oil prices would be volatile. Shipping would be disrupted and price for goods would go up due to increased transit costs.
[–] SayTan 0 points 2 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago (edited ago)
No. Iran has at least one nuke.
[–] 3761760? 0 points 2 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago
Evey Muslim is in war with any other Muslim. They blow each other mosques up. Of course there will be more civil wars to come.
The US should stay out of it.
[–] Anoxim 0 points 2 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago
They literally can't. They tied their dollar value to Saudi Oil back in the 60's.
Thanks Nixon...
[–] Robbaba 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
There is no chance of a war because Iran says that there will be "divine vengeance". By definition that means that they don't have to do anything the divinity will do it for them.
[–] alalzia 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
KSA 's army wasn't sufficient to put down few mountain fighters in Yemen
Iran has enough conventional weapons to low KSA's average elevation
Fragile EU governments will just disintegrate faster if pulled in a war
US public will not be very amused either
China and Russia will probably avoid conflict , if western efforts failed in a tiny country like Afghanistan they will just chock on Iran .
[–] wilwilwesly 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
Saudi Arabia would get destroyed by Iran unless the US intervened majorly
[–] cattarhero 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
One thing, there would be an increase in the number of "good" Muslims in the world! How would the current US administration react? Just imagine the worst possible thing that the US could do if that war happens and that's what the US would do.
[–] cesera_borgia 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
This would instantly remove something like 30 percent of oil from the market, as well as a lot of the natural gas, especially once the strait of Hormuz is closed. I could see oil skyrocketing to 150 plus a barrel quickly, maybe higher.
I don't know how the us would react. We don't really get any oil from the middle east. Our two big suppliers, Canada and Mexico, don't really have the infrastructure to export to anyone but us. We also have substantial oil and gas reserves. If push comes to shove I think we will be less affected than the rest of the world.