So, we have battle tanks, troop carriers, and as has been reported by the Pentagon the soldiers will be carrying rifles and side arms to defend themselves. We have seen that the "caravan" is violent. They stormed the Guatemala border and overran armed police. They did the same in Mexico. Violently. Throwing molotovs, explosives, and reportedly shooting at Mexican security forces. So, what happens when they try to do the same at the US borders?
We have two scenarios. One is awesome, great, good for me and probably people like the bulk of us here. Neither is good for normies and potentially bad for the elections if they get here before the election happens.
**Scenario one: **The soldiers are armed, apparently even going to have battle tanks. Our guys have night vision goggles, rapid transit, and helicopters which will allow them to quickly surround and detain them. When approached the "caravan" gets violent. They try to either just push passed the soldiers/BP by force. Can't let that happen as it's eminent threat to our personnel. Or they throw firebombs and shoot at our personnel. They have no choice but to return fire and end up mowing down a few dozen beans. Scenario 1A, beans run back across the border fearing for their life. Scenario 1B, the beans get more violent and our guys really have to unload on them mowing down dozens if not hundreds.
I'm guessing you know how normies are going to respond to this. Not good for elections and maybe not good for 2020. On the plus side I doubt we will be seeing any more of these caravans once they hear we are willing to use deadly force.
**Scenario two: **Our guys do the above where they rapidly surround and attempt to detain the "caravan". They get confronted and rather than fight back they retreat. The "caravan" storms across and scatters all over the desert most of them getting in and possibly picked up in smaller dispersed groups as they try to get to an American population center. Sure, we get a lot of them but this optics encourage caravans to keep coming. This also isn't a good optic for normies because then they will say "what a waste of money" and such. Though, it's not as bad an optic as mowing down beans. Still not good for the elections. And we have to keep fucking dealing with caravans.
The only thing good optically from the first two is if one of our border patrol or military members get really injured or killed because it reveals the nature of the caravan. I guess there is really a third. They show up at the border and peacefully surrender. We know they won't do that because of what they have done when they were attempted to be stopped twice now. But if they do, we have massive sprawling tent cities armed and controlled by military police under the control of homeland security. Still not good optics for normies but possibly the least of the bad optics for them. We will spend at least a year hearing about kids in cages etc again. At some point there could be an uprising in the camp and the guards end up shooting some beans. Then things get bad again optically.
Long rambling but the only good we can hope for in the midterms is that they don't make it to the border by the election. Trump sending the military says strong on border which something in the neighborhood of 3/4 Americans support. If they make it before the election I don't see any scenario playing out that isn't a detriment to republicans unless they have evidence saying that democrats organized this thing.