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[–] Kurplow 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
What happens to the share of Congress held by a party while that party occupies the White House? Whichever party has the Presidency is seen as being "in power" and they assume the blame and credit for essentially everything except in the minds of extreme partisans. I don't expect the next four years to be all roses and sunshine, regardless of who is "in power;" I do expect Congress to move away from that party's control, though, because it almost always does.
Okay, but that's even more true in 2020 post a scandalous and unproductive Clinton Presidency.
The most unpopular candidate to win, ever, would be that incumbent. Also, and again, I don't think the President is going to enjoy the next four years very much; and if times are rough, as I'm expecting, whoever is perceived to be "in power" will not be winning the love of the people. What do you think Republicans would say leading up to 2020, about the 12 years of "Democrats in power" with nothing to show for it but financial crises and war? That wouldn't be an easy election for anyone to win, let alone her.
Okay, but--and for the same reasons--all they have to do is get their shit together a little bit.