I am not a fan on the New York Times, but they have nailed the COVID-19 numbers.
Look at their world map.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html?module=styln-coronavirus-world
Under "Confirmed cases worldwide" click on "Per capita."
Spain, Italy, Belgium, and Switzerland currently have the most infections per captia.
Scroll down to "Where cases are rising fastest Cases currently doubling every ..."
Bangladesh is the fastest rising.
Then go to their US Map:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
Once again, under "Confirmed cases in the United States" click on "Per capita."
The area around New York City including New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, and Connecticut is a disaster.
Georgia, Louisiana, Detroit, and a few other areas are really bad.
Once again, scroll down and look at the "Where cases are rising fastest Cases currently doubling every ..." map.
You can see rapid increases as the New York infection expands outward and in Louisiana.
There are also state-level maps if you look for them. They are very useful but the rendering of the counties may be different from the US map.
For the one or two people who still do not get this, exponential growth is a big deal. There is an old story about a king offering a man either $1 Million immediately, or $0.01 that day, plus $0.02 the next day, $0.04 the day after that, doubling every day for a month. On the 30th day he would receive $5,368,709.12.
The number of cases we have today in the USA is doubling every 8 days. If we have 463,619 cases of COVID-19 in the USA today, and if it doubles every days, we will follow this chart:
463,619 10-Apr
927,238 17-Apr
1,854,476 24-Apr
3,708,952 1-May
7,417,904 8-May
14,835,808 15-May
29,671,616 22-May
59,343,232 29-May
118,686,464 5-Jun
237,372,928 12-Jun
474,745,856 19-Jun
949,491,712 26-Jun
1,898,983,424 3-Jul
3,797,966,848 10-Jul
7,595,933,696 17-Jul
15,191,867,392 24-Jul
30,383,734,784 31-Jul
60,767,469,568 7-Aug
121,534,939,136 14-Aug
243,069,878,272 21-Aug << we run out of Americans before we get here
That's the problem.
Sort: Top
[–] Elcycs ago
What about faking the mortality numbers? That seems important.
[–] FoundingUncle [S] ago
I am not there. I am at home. I have no data on that.
[–] Elcycs ago
Um. Ok. Then how did you collect that other data you posted about? Perhaps that method could work again!
[–] Tallest_Skil 1 point -1 points 0 points (+0|-1) ago
The problem with your fearmongering is that infection rates become asymptotic after a while. You just stop getting new infections.
[–] FoundingUncle [S] 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
Yes, you do run out of virgin population after a while. It's like Epstein's island.