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[–] rwbj ago 

I think a better argument is mathematic one. It's actually really simple. Do you think eventually we'll be able to create virtual simulations that one, with no knowledge otherwise, could be convinced were real? Note that the simulation doesn't have to be of our universe, but anything that the person entering the simulation -with no knowledge otherwise- would perceive to be real.

Now the fun part. That question and answer alone already suggests you are almost certainly living in a simulation. Why? There is going to be exactly one 'real' reality. But this real reality will reach a point in time where it can and will spawn virtual simulations. And these virtual simulations may in turn further spawn even more simulations (though that is not necessary). So what are the odds that we're in the 'real' world? It's a simple question of probability: The answer is 1/x where x is however many total realities including all simulations there are. Unless for some reason people stop producing simulations at some point, x approaches infinity over time. That in turn sends the probability of us being in the 'real' universe approaching 0.