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[–] 25855201? 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
Here is the deal on all polls from all media outlets.
MSM polls are used for only two things: fire up the base, and fundraising. Other than that, they are completely unscientific and completely skewed.
Each campaign does there own internal polling. Internal polling is by far the most accurate form of political polling. It includes a much larger and truer sample size. It also includes using cellphone numbers. MSM polling only uses landlines. Why? Because it costs much more to also including people using smartphones as their primary phone device. MSM polls are only calling landlines which is an extremely small percentage of primary phone devices in use today.
Whatever the MSM polls say, you can easily add 20% to 25% more for Trump on those results. Trump’s internal polling confirms that and their campaign and Trump have these numbers. So does Biden’s campaign which is why they are terrified right now. Instead of Biden being up 7% to 9% in average MSM polls, POTUS could be actually up over 15%.
So the only true polling being done is being done by the campaigns themselves. Everything else is completely fake and skewed to Biden. It was the same in 2016 - and Killary chose to accept the fake numbers anyway - and it was the same in every election in the last 20 years or so since the the domination of the cellphone as the primary telephony device that people own and use.
[–] 25855610? 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
Too many of the polls also use internet responses, which is even more unreliable. You are correct about errors with sample sizes and other methodologies. Most polls I look into have heavily skewed methodlogy, like oversampling democrats in some cases by +10 and sometimes more. The state polls are the worst. I looked at one for Arizona, which has more registered Republicans by several hundred thousand, and the poll sampled dems +8.
Poll hoaxing is real.