Most of us have heard of the "Dunning Kruger effect" which posits that the incompetent don't know how incompetent they are.
But there is a secondary aspect that they discovered, which is that the competent tend to underestimate themselves in comparison to others.
Now that the "unfoldening" is moving faster, many of us will be asked for our opinions on things, whereas in the past we were shunned and ostracized for being truth-seekers. That is going to flip in the blink of an eye.
It is always good to be humble, to question things and continue to learn... but don't be shy! This is the time to speak up and share what you've learned. Please recognize that you are among a tiny fraction, perhaps 1% of 1% of the people, who are truly up to speed on all of this. SPEAK UP and LEAD. You're ready!
Here's the excerpt from the original study which you may read here: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/654d/e896dddeaf5f8b2bc1c633f28ec519c653c7.pdf
In contrast, we expected that top-quartile participants, because they have the metacognitive skill to recognize competence and incompetence in others, would revise their self-ratings after the grading task. In particular, we predicted that they would recognize that the performances of the five individuals they evaluated were inferior to their own, and thus would raise their estimates of their percentile ranking accordingly. That is, top-quartile participants would learn from observing the responses of others, whereas bottom-quartile participants would not.
In making these predictions, we felt that we could account for an anomaly that appeared in all three previous studies: Despite the fact that top-quartile participants were far more calibrated than were their less skilled counterparts, they tended to underestimate their performance relative to their peers. We felt that this miscali- bration had a different source then the miscalibration evidenced by bottom-quartile participants. That is, top-quartile participants did not underestimate themselves because they were wrong about their own performances, but rather because they were wrong about the performances of their peers.
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[–] 23851331? 0 points 4 points 4 points (+4|-0) ago
The magic word is humility. "I told you so" shuts down a fence sitter so fast that assault charges are almost justified.
A sense of humor that does not bite also helps.