Analysis & Perspective : Marksmans and Performance
First of all, English isn't my native language. Sorry for the grammatical and syntax mistakes.
Beware, they are some spoiler ahead
Hello good people of Voat !
I'm Reilik - (worst) belgian player on EUW and enthusiast analyst of the game.
I want to add my two cents to the lol subverse (wait, are they called like that ?) so let's talk about marksmans ! The main goal behind this little analysis/reflection is to understand a bit better the complex dynamics that regulate the LCS. But as I am not a professional analyst, I can't pretend to understand myself those dynamics. So let's keep in mind that this is just a small perspective of something way more complex :
today we talk about performance of the AD carries in the EU LCS (If I have the fortitude the analyse the NA LCS, I swear I will do it too)
I - How to do that ?
For a first analysis, I may not have chose the easiest topic. Once upon a time, it was an easy game : there was two guys botlane and they farmed all the game until the adc was full stuff. But nowadays playing adc in a pro games is so much complex ; just the swaplanes call for so much more theorycrafting than a "standard" botlane. How to do it then ? We'll restrain ourself to only the number, the score, of the adc's. I know this can be misleading as they are more factors to consider if we are to judge an adc player. But we are not judging if they are good or bad - what we do is to look to the stat sheet and try to understand the meaning and the impact of those numbers. In other words : what can we learn from their scores ?
II - Standings
|1. Fnatic (14-0)
|2. Origen (10-4)
|3. H2k-Gaming (9-5)
|4. GIANTS! Gaming (7-7)
|4. Unicorns of Love (7-7)
|6. Gambit Gaming (6-8)
|6. Team ROCCAT (6-8)
|8. Elements (5-9)
|9. SK Gaming (4-10)
|10. Copenhagen Wolves (2-12)
First of all, we can see there is a correlation between the standing of a team and the KDA of his adc. You don't say ? Call me genious.
But if we ignore the obvious, we can already see two things :
- The gap between Niels and Hjarnan is bigger than the one between Adryh/Vardags and Freeze. Why ? H2K (64% win) is only 1 game behind Origen (71% win) ; Giants and Unicorn (50% win) are way behind the Wolves (14% win). There is something interesting here.
- The kill participation stat seems to be independent of either the team ranking or the adc kda. Thenceforth, that stat must considered carefully. We have to ask ourselves What does it mean ? - Let's take FORG1VEN for instance. He has the lowest kill participation in the EU LCS (among adc's). Yet, that doesn't translate all the work he does for gambit, the pressure he puts, his farming, the objectives control, etc. Without going into details, let's just keep in mind that those statistics, even more kill participation, don't show individual feats but rather team performances as a whole.
So, what can we learn from their scores ? Lots of things - Interesting things - and yet we must keep in mind that it is only a perspective on something way more complex than just some numbers on a stat sheet.
Now let's focus on some interesting points !
III - The Freeze's curse
The Copenhagen Wolves history is heartbreaking.Okay, maybe not hearthbreaking, NiP history is, but so many great players have been under the wolves colors that it is just unbelievable : Svenskeren, Deficio, Bjergsen, Shook, Rekkles, Forg1ven, Amazing, Woolite... Freeze joined them in November 2014 and played with them the 2015 Spring Split - the better split the wolves had since they joined the LCS. So, coming in this Summer Split, the former NiP-franchise-player's team had big expectations on its shoulders : same roster, a good synergy and potential. How did it go ? 2-12 ; 60% of the roster gone and they are threatened finishing last. That was unexpected - is Freeze truly cursed ?
Yet I find Freeze performance astounding. His team doesn't perform, they seem unable to make it work, and despite that he's looking good. 2.7 KDA, 70% kill participation, only 25 deaths (fourth in least deaths). Also, he has played 9 different champions in 14 games (and who else can brag to have a 13 kda on draven ?). The wolves are sinking - and therefore must rebuild their team - and i can't avoid the feeling that Freeze is the one keeping them alive. He bring them consistency. With the return of Shook in the team, the wolves have got a nice foundation for a rebuilding. If the team can play around its two best players, maybe they can pull the ninth place and avoid automatic relegation. And if not, we'll see Freeze again, i'm sure of it.
Super Rekkles vs Rekkles 2.0 Niels
God, I did not expected that. Since he joined the LCS, Rekkles has been a drama magnet. From golden boy (summer 2014 mvp) to an ugly duckling (omg he left fnatic !), he was clearly in a downfall. When rumors spread about him rejoining Fnatic, most of us were either surprised or skeptical : after all, Fnatic was working well and didn't need a roster swap - Steelback was performing, Rekkles would not be a big improvement - I believed such thing.
God, was I wrong.
Rekkles has pull out some DragonBall-level-turnaround, becoming all shiny and blondy. Since then, he has been unstoppable. After seven weeks, his team stills undefeated and he can brag about his numbers : 79/20/103 - 9.1 kda (it's far from the 14.2 kda of Yellow', but hey it's almost 50% more than his Spring kda). Rekkles is first (among adc's) in kills, in assist, in gold-per-minut (421 g/m) and second in least death. Furthermore, He's first in season total kills. Let's be clear : he's a stat sheet stuffer. If he was playing basketball, he'll be raining triple-double on every game. You know what's most impressive ? He's got himself a challenger who returns blow for blow : Niels