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If you limit the jobs counted to only those directly impacted by automation, then you're right. But that's not a complete view.
When the subsistence farmers were no longer necessary because of better farming techniques, they didn't die off. They moved, urbanized, and began forming specialized trade. The same pattern emerges with most, if not all, progress in making production more efficient. The people no longer needed in one industry are available for hire in new industries. don't know if you're old enough to remember this, but back in the day we had the same angst over computers eliminating secretarial-type positions. However, out of that shift came ecommerce, software development, IT support, and smartphones. All providing very lucrative careers.
Yes. Manufacturing jobs are going away. That's been an undeniable trend for at least 15 years. I say 15 because that's when I first came across that topic at a conference I attended. Low-skill jobs are also going away. It's becoming more expensive to have employees. In low-margin industries such as grocery stores and fast food, that presents the challenge of adapt or die. But that doesn't mean a net decrease in jobs. Not necessarily. It means a shift in overall job focus. Whether or not that results in a net gain or loss depends on the overall economy's ability to shift.
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[–] Medicroger 0 points 2 points 2 points (+2|-0) ago
Your not thinking macro enough bro.
It's not going to take the same amount of people working at MCdonalds to fix the MCdonalds robots.
That's the whole point. EVERYTHING will be automated and controlled with computers.
The future is one where people are obsolete.
Basic income is one of many ideas people have been debating about to adapt to the change.
Progress, more efficient means to produce, litteraly means less people will be needed to produce the same amount, so yeah.
New jobs with progress, but only a fraction of the ones that new technology, what ever it is, replaced.
[–] SteelKidney 0 points 1 point 1 point (+1|-0) ago
If you limit the jobs counted to only those directly impacted by automation, then you're right. But that's not a complete view.
When the subsistence farmers were no longer necessary because of better farming techniques, they didn't die off. They moved, urbanized, and began forming specialized trade. The same pattern emerges with most, if not all, progress in making production more efficient. The people no longer needed in one industry are available for hire in new industries. don't know if you're old enough to remember this, but back in the day we had the same angst over computers eliminating secretarial-type positions. However, out of that shift came ecommerce, software development, IT support, and smartphones. All providing very lucrative careers.
Yes. Manufacturing jobs are going away. That's been an undeniable trend for at least 15 years. I say 15 because that's when I first came across that topic at a conference I attended. Low-skill jobs are also going away. It's becoming more expensive to have employees. In low-margin industries such as grocery stores and fast food, that presents the challenge of adapt or die. But that doesn't mean a net decrease in jobs. Not necessarily. It means a shift in overall job focus. Whether or not that results in a net gain or loss depends on the overall economy's ability to shift.