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[–] lodro ago  (edited ago)

Intuitive judgements based on one's subjective impression of how many people one meets are not relevant to claim about statistics, and offer essentially no evidence that the claim is true.

In fact, in almost every case in which intuitive judgements about objective facts have been subjected to scientific inquiry, intuitive judgements are found to produce severely distorted, false impressions of those facts.

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[–] pm_me_firearms ago 

Sure it might be a lot less than one would think, but over a lifetime of meeting people, it's certainly possible.

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[–] lodro ago 

...

Sure, it's possible to meet a serial killer. Of course it's possible. Hell, its possibility is established by the definition of a serial killer alone - they've got to meet people to kill them, right?

But that isn't the claim. The claim is that it's a certainty, or is extremely likely. The only way to establish that as a fact would be to produce data. There won't be any data, because it isn't true.