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[–] 19300939? ago 

It’s 9AM in #Tehran. If a strike on #Iran happens tomorrow, it’ll likely be taking place during nighttime local hours - 4-6PM possibly EST.

In the event that such a strike does take place, the first wave will be Tomahawk cruise missiles to take out known Iranian anti-air assets, then likely a small amount of fighters to perform an air sweep and flush out any remaining AA.

Following that will likely be bombers targeting Iranian strategic assets - think oil fields, refineries, nuclear plants, etc. B-1s and B-52s are both possible. More hardened targets may necessitate stealth and bunker-busting bombs.

The main thing to realize is that, unlike the 2017 TLAM strike in Syria, any effective strike on #Iran will be a protracted campaign with multiple phases, most likely taking place over the span of hours rather than minutes.

The reason why I think strategic bombers will be used is as such: TLAMs are incredibly expensive per unit of damage done, and while great for preliminary attacks, lack sustained destructive power

Bombers, by comparison, are much more vulnerable but can carry heavier and more effective payloads, including bunker-busters like the GBU-57 MOP, which to my knowledge hasn’t been used in any actual military action to this date.

Iranian targets are hardened, and in order to damage them effectively necessitates the use of advanced munitions that aren’t available by missile. In order to take out nuclear facilities and some AA sites, we’re going to have to use bombers.

This may be why Trump is reluctant to authorize a strike - in order to properly do the job, the USAF is going to have to go balls-deep into #Iran, and that means that we can’t take half measures.

https://twitter.com/InLittleChina/status/1141930764646408198

please, keep in mind this tweet was posted a few hours ago, still doesn't make it less meaningful

https://twitter.com/InLittleChina/status/1141963312202211329