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[–] septenary [S] ago  (edited ago)

If implemented early enough and comprehensively enough, those measures could potentially slow down the virus - ie., drag out the period at peak or near the peak - but not stop or nearly stop it.

So what does it mean when the virus stops? It means it already infected enough of the population for herd immunity. It's not the narrative that Cuomo would like you to believe, but it's the truth.

Social distancing was added too late, and not strictly enough to help. The mask thing has always been laughably ineffective. If you've got a big pile of N95 masks, and swap them out twice an hour to prevent moisture saturation, you might be able to reduce spreading the virus to others if you're coughing. But what percentage have been doing that? Zero.

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[–] heygeorge ago 

if you're coughing

And you have it, but that’s getting into the weeds again, and you’ve already demonstrated an ability to cast out there and make someone else get it unstuck. I agree that social distancing/the lockdown would have been wildly more successful (and shorter) if implemented more strictly and quickly. But that doesn’t mean it didn’t have an effect. Towns and cities looked like something out of a sci-fi flick.

I don’t believe it is stopped, did you say that? Maybe Cuomo is having a ‘Mission Accomplished’ moment, but it seems to me what he’s referring to is accomplishing a milestone of ‘control’ of the spread.

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[–] septenary [S] ago 

It's pretty much over in NYC - seriously. The only way it will come back is if there's another strain. Their social distancing, etc., did not stop the virus at all.

Search for the NYC health department COVID information page - I apparently don't have enough rep yet to post links.

Take a look at the charts, particularly for daily hospitalizations and deaths. In case you think, "well, maybe they controlled it?" No, that's not possible.

The only way to get that far through the curve - short of total isolation for the entire population, which didn't happen - is herd immunity.