2019-12-19 | To avoid removal, Trump needs senators representing only 7 percent of the country to support him - The Washington Post
'Even if he were deeply unpopular, if Trump maintained support from senators in 17 states, he could keep his job. '
'Among women, who generally support impeachment, the gap was much smaller. '
'Independents were presumed to support removal.)That opposition to impeachment also means that a party-line Senate vote would even less accurately reflect public polling. '
'The difference between our theoretical Senate vote margin and the Post poll is nine points; for the House it was a bit under five points. '
'In our poll, support for impeachment (and removal) was three points higher than opposition. '
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The House impeachment vote, however, largely mirrored what Americans in those districts wanted. I don’t think that the GOP will convict him.