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[–] 16732071? ago 

A bizarre alliance of neocons, Western chauvinists, crazy Russian nationalists, Islamist fanatics, and plain Russophobes have been peddling the imminent prospect of a Muslim-majority Russian Army and a Russabia ruled from the Caucasus Emirates for almost a decade. But one does not have to be a proponent of mass Muslim immigration, or to deny that serious problems of radicalization exist in some Russian Muslim communities, to call out such projections for the fear-mongering BS they really are. Here is a graph that decisively refutes the “Russabia” thesis:

Anatoly Karlin

From Russia To Russabia? Not Anytime Soon

This Featured Post in Da Russophile about Demographics, and tagged Eurabia, Islam, Russia, was written by Anatoly Karlin on July 8, 2013 . 7 Comments

Faced with the utter failure of their doom-laden projections for Russia’s population future to describe reality – it’s population is now not only growing in absolute terms, but even barring migration its number of births now virtually equals the number of deaths – the more guttural elements of the interwebs are now resorting to another strategy: “But it’s all due to Muslims anyway!”

A bizarre alliance of neocons, Western chauvinists, crazy Russian nationalists, Islamist fanatics, and plain Russophobes have been peddling the imminent prospect of a Muslim-majority Russian Army and a Russabia ruled from the Caucasus Emirates for almost a decade. But one does not have to be a proponent of mass Muslim immigration, or to deny that serious problems of radicalization exist in some Russian Muslim communities, to call out such projections for the fear-mongering BS they really are. Here is a graph that decisively refutes the “Russabia” thesis:

russia-will-become-majority-muslim-not

The percentage of births in Russia’s traditionally Muslim” republics in the North Caucasus (Agygea, Dagestan, Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkaria, Karachay-Cherkessia, Chechnya) and the Volga (Bashkortostan, Tatarstan) is a mere 13%-14% of the total – and shows no signs of increasing at a sustained and rapid rate.

It should furthermore be noted that of the above only Dagestan, Chechnya, and Ingushetia have predominantly Muslim population – and their share of total Russian births, at just a little above 5%, are today virtually the same as they were in 2006. This is especially relevant because the vast bulk of Russia’s problems with Islamic fundamentalism and armed opposition to Russian state power are concentrated there.

Finally, the Muslim demographic expansion is self-limiting. A lot of the people who push Russabia (and Eurabia) are apparently under the impression that their typical family has 6 children, which in turn will have 6 children, and so on until they squeeze out everyone else. This is completely and utterly wrong. In Russia, at least, the only Muslim region with a TFR higher than the replacement level rate is Chechnya; as of 2009, it was at 3.38 children per woman, compared to 1.97 in Ingushetia, 1.96 in Dagestan, and far less in all the others – in fact, both Kabardino-Balkaria’s and Tatarstan’s TFR of 1.51 was less than the Russian average of 1.54. As such, far from reflecting any innate demographic strength, the current high rates of natural increase seen in Russia’s Muslim republics – or even more specifically, in Dagestan, Ingushetia, and Chechnya – are due in large part to the youthfulness of those regions’ populations. Young populations have, by definition, few old people (hence low mortality) and many young people (hence high natality). Considering that all of Russia’s Muslim regions with the partial exception of Chechnya – which, however, accounts for a mere 1% of its population and 2% of its newborn – are rapidly undergoing demographic transition, this is necessarily a temporary state of affairs.

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[–] 16732074? ago 

>>12789860

You're assuming nobody is migrating, or pretend like it's a small number. Russia and its neighboring regions are the Europe and North Africa before it even started. The "rest of Russia" has a large Muslim population already and if some shitskin marries outside of his faith, I can guarantee you that the family stays Muslim and the gene pool is inevitably browned. Look at the demographics of the largest cities and read the retarded shit you've posted again. And once those become fully fucked, everything is going to spill to the rest of the country.

>>12787778

I keep seeing these threads come up and I don't understand where you have to get your information from. I know Europe is slowly becoming an Arab and nigger majority, but do you really think being ruled by another country that's been mongolized and then shitskinned is a great alternative? >>12788905 is correct, but I'd say it's similar to India more. A once perspective country sodomized by subhumans into the state it exists in today, complete with absolute bureaucracy, retarded leadership bordering on mental illness and Pajeet behaviors minus street shitting.

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[–] 16760761? ago 

Europe is slowly becoming an Arab and nigger majority, but do you really think being ruled by another country that's been mongolized and then shitskinned is a great alternative?

European countries are ruled by EU already. I don't shill for Russian Empire. But if EU didn't fall or kick out all muslims and niggers, white race is done. I don't care about religions. Christianity or islam. Who gives a fuck. You can erase religion in 20 years. But you will never turn nigger to aryan.

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[–] 16732073? ago 

Pretend immigration don't exist and you're not further down the path of minority majority than even US all you want. Nobody wants your budget Mordor, Mehmedovich.

Furthermore all other large powers will keep outpacing you, you will only fall further behind. Nothing to offer nothing to win with, I'm gonna enjoy watching you try to keep up instead of developing your country with all that raw resource money.

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[–] 16732072? ago